ＡｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｏｆＭａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃａｌＥｘｐｅｃｔａｔｉｏｎｉｎＭａｎａｇｅｍｅｎｔＤｅｃｉｓｉｏｎ

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1009-0479.2018.01.015

Abstract

Abstract: Ｍａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃａｌｅｘｐｅｃｔａｔｉｏｎｐｌａｙｓａｎｉｍｐｏｒｔａｎｔｒｏｌｅｉｎｓｏｌｖｉｎｇｔｈｅｐｒｏｂｌｅｍｏｆｕｎｃｅｒｔａｉｎｆａｃｔｏｒｓａｎｄｉｔｉｓａｎｉｍｐｏｒｔａｎｔｎｕｍｅｒｉｃａｌｆｅａｔｕｒｅｒｅｆｌｅｃｔｉｎｇｔｈｅａｖｅｒａｇｅｌｅｖｅｌｏｆｔｈｅｔｏｔａｌｖａｌｕｅｏｆｒａｎｄｏｍｖａｒｉａｂｌｅｓ．Ｔｈｅｒｅａｒｅｍａｎｙｐｒｏｂｌｅｍｓｉｎｍａｎａｇｅｍｅｎｔｄｅｃｉｓｉｏｎｔｈａｔｃａｎｂｅｓｏｌｖｅｄｄｉｒｅｃｔｌｙｏｒｉｎｄｉｒｅｃｔｌｙｂｙｍａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃａｌｅｘｐｅｃｔａｔｉｏｎ．Ｔｈｉｓｐａｐｅｒｉｎｔｒｏｄｕｃｅｄｔｈｅｍａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃａｌｅｘｐｅｃｔａｔｉｏｎｉｎｄｅｔａｉｌ，ａｎｄａｎａｌｙｚｅｄｔｈｅａｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｏｆｔｈｅｍａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃａｌｅｘｐｅｃｔａｔｉｏｎｉｎｔｈｅｍａｎａｇｅｍｅｎｔｄｅｃｉｓｉｏｎｂｙｄｉｓｃｕｓｓｉｎｇｔｈｅｓｐｅｃｉｆｉｃｃａｓｅｓｓｕｃｈａｓｓｈｏｏｔｉｎｇｇａｍｅ，ｓａｖｉｎｇｒａｔｅａｎｄｐｒｏｄｕｃｔｐｒｉｃｅｓｔｒａｔｅｇｙ．Ｔｈｅｓｔｕｄｙａｌｓｏａｎａｌｙｚｅｄｔｈｅａｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｏｆｍａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃａｌｅｘｐｅｃｔａｔｉｏｎｉｎｍａｎａｇｅｍｅｎｔｄｅｃｉｓｉｏｎ

Key words: ｍａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃａｌｅｘｐｅｃｔａｔｉｏｎ, ｒａｎｄｏｍｖａｒｉａｂｌｅ, ｍａｎａｇｅｍｅｎｔｄｅｃｉｓｉｏｎ, ａｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎ

CLC Number:

Ｃ９３4

ＹＩＮＧｕａｎｇ. ＡｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｏｆＭａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃａｌＥｘｐｅｃｔａｔｉｏｎｉｎＭａｎａｇｅｍｅｎｔＤｅｃｉｓｉｏｎ[J]. HPMug2oMmNrOfxWQHLiEksa6s0hFu9Ox348d7QefarYlaFR5ArkhOwm3Da1pmxmxCtenj1+6luWD#r#n+EPn9L6Ce+9onqnMlT+i, DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-0479.2018.01.015.

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